Global Chocolate Bar Market Expected to Reach $68.8B by 2030 with a CAGR of +3.4%

IndexBox has just published a new report: World - Chocolate Bars With Fillings - Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends And Insights.

The global market for chocolate bars with fillings is projected to grow in both volume and value over the next seven years. The article provides a comprehensive analysis of consumption, production, imports, and exports of chocolate bars with fillings, offering insights into key trends and statistics such as consumption patterns, production volumes, import and export trends, and pricing fluctuations among major producing and consuming countries.

Market Forecast

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for chocolate bars with fillings worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next seven years. Market performance is forecast to retain its current trend pattern, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +1.4% for the period from 2023 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 11M tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +3.4% for the period from 2023 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $68.8B (in nominal prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

Consumption

Global chocolate bar with filling consumption totaled 9.9M tons in 2023, remaining relatively unchanged against the previous year's figure. The total consumption volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.7% from 2013 to 2023; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations being observed in certain years. Over the period under review, global consumption reached the maximum volume at 10M tons in 2021; however, from 2022 to 2023, consumption stood at a somewhat lower figure.

The global chocolate bar with filling market value totaled $54.6B in 2023, growing by 2.7% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The market value increased at an average annual rate of +1.8% from 2013 to 2023; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Global consumption peaked at $55.7B in 2021; however, from 2022 to 2023, consumption failed to regain momentum.

Consumption By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2023 were China (1.5M tons), the United States (1M tons) and Russia (961K tons), together accounting for 36% of global consumption. India, Japan, Pakistan, Germany, Indonesia, Nigeria, Brazil, Mexico, Bangladesh and Italy lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 27%.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the main consuming countries, was attained by Pakistan (with a CAGR of +5.9%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, China ($7.4B), the United States ($5.2B) and Japan ($4.7B) were the countries with the highest levels of market value in 2023, together accounting for 32% of the global market. India, Russia, Indonesia, Brazil, Nigeria, Italy, Germany, Mexico, Bangladesh and Pakistan lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 27%.

In terms of the main consuming countries, Pakistan, with a CAGR of +6.6%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to market size over the period under review, while market for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In 2023, the highest levels of chocolate bar with filling per capita consumption was registered in Russia (6.7 kg per person), followed by Germany (3.2 kg per person), the United States (3 kg per person) and Italy (2.7 kg per person), while the world average per capita consumption of chocolate bar with filling was estimated at 1.2 kg per person.

From 2013 to 2023, the average annual rate of growth in terms of the chocolate bar with filling per capita consumption in Russia was relatively modest. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of per capita consumption growth: Germany (+2.7% per year) and the United States (+1.6% per year).

Production

Production

In 2023, global chocolate bar with filling production was estimated at 9.9M tons, remaining relatively unchanged against the year before. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.7% from 2013 to 2023; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2014 when the production volume increased by 9% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global production hit record highs at 10M tons in 2021; however, from 2022 to 2023, production failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, chocolate bar with filling production totaled $53.9B in 2023 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +1.8% over the period from 2013 to 2023; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2014 when the production volume increased by 12% against the previous year. Global production peaked at $55.2B in 2021; however, from 2022 to 2023, production failed to regain momentum.

Production By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2023 were China (1.5M tons), Russia (996K tons) and the United States (972K tons), with a combined 35% share of global production. India, Germany, Japan, Pakistan, Indonesia, Brazil, Nigeria, Mexico, Bangladesh and the Netherlands lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 28%.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of production, amongst the key producing countries, was attained by Pakistan (with a CAGR of +5.9%), while production for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Imports

Imports

For the third year in a row, the global market recorded growth in purchases abroad of chocolate bars with fillings, which increased by 2.1% to 1.1M tons in 2023. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.6% from 2013 to 2023; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations being observed throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 when imports increased by 7.7%. Global imports peaked in 2023 and are expected to retain growth in the near future.

In value terms, chocolate bar with filling imports surged to $6.2B in 2023. The total import value increased at an average annual rate of +4.0% from 2013 to 2023; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. As a result, imports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Imports By Country

The UK (111K tons), Germany (94K tons), the United States (64K tons) and the Netherlands (64K tons) represented roughly 31% of total imports in 2023. Poland (42K tons), France (40K tons), Belgium (36K tons), China (27K tons), Italy (26K tons), Romania (26K tons), Russia (23K tons), Iraq (21K tons) and Sweden (19K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the main importing countries, was attained by Iraq (with a CAGR of +14.5%), while imports for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest chocolate bar with filling importing markets worldwide were the UK ($587M), Germany ($561M) and the United States ($554M), with a combined 27% share of global imports. The Netherlands, France, Poland, Belgium, Italy, Romania, Sweden, Russia, China and Iraq lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 28%.

Among the main importing countries, the Netherlands, with a CAGR of +12.4%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices By Country

In 2023, the average chocolate bar with filling import price amounted to $5,897 per ton, picking up by 15% against the previous year. Over the period from 2013 to 2023, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.4%. As a result, import price reached the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was the United States ($8,656 per ton), while Iraq ($2,987 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Italy (+5.8%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

Exports

In 2023, the amount of chocolate bars with fillings exported worldwide expanded rapidly to 1.1M tons, with an increase of 6.4% compared with the previous year's figure. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.1% from 2013 to 2023; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when exports increased by 8.2%. The global exports peaked in 2023 and are expected to retain growth in the near future.

In value terms, chocolate bar with filling exports soared to $6.6B in 2023. Over the period under review, total exports indicated moderate growth from 2013 to 2023: its value increased at an average annual rate of +4.6% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2023 figures, exports increased by +49.9% against 2020 indices. As a result, the exports reached the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Exports By Country

In 2023, the Netherlands (212K tons) and Germany (200K tons) were the key exporters of chocolate bars with fillingsin the world, together achieving 37% of total exports. Poland (97K tons) took the next position in the ranking, followed by Turkey (58K tons), Russia (58K tons) and Austria (57K tons). All these countries together held approx. 24% share of total exports. Canada (38K tons), Belgium (32K tons), Italy (32K tons), the United States (31K tons), Egypt (23K tons), Spain (22K tons) and Croatia (21K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2013 to 2023, the biggest increases were recorded for Croatia (with a CAGR of +20.9%), while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Germany ($1.4B), the Netherlands ($1.2B) and Poland ($478M) appeared to be the countries with the highest levels of exports in 2023, with a combined 46% share of global exports. Canada, Austria, Italy, Belgium, Croatia, Russia, Turkey, the United States, Egypt and Spain lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 31%.

Croatia, with a CAGR of +31.5%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of exports, among the main exporting countries over the period under review, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices By Country

In 2023, the average chocolate bar with filling export price amounted to $5,950 per ton, increasing by 17% against the previous year. Over the period from 2013 to 2023, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.5%. As a result, the export price attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2023, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Croatia ($9,963 per ton), while Turkey ($3,272 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2023, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Croatia (+8.8%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform