Decaffeinated or Roasted Coffee Market

The global market for decaffeinated or roasted coffee is on an upward trend, with consumption rising slightly to 17M tons in 2022. China leads in both consumption and production, with a 21% share of total volume. Roasted coffee (not decaffeinated) dominates consumption, while roasted decaffeinated coffee sees slower growth. Global imports and exports of coffee are also on the rise, with the United States and France leading as key exporting countries. Average import and export prices are also seeing growth, with variations depending on the product type and country of origin.

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for coffee (decaffeinated or roasted) worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next eight-year period. Market performance is forecast to retain its current trend pattern, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +1.9% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 19M tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +55.6% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $6,084.7B (in nominal prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Coffee (Decaffeinated or Roasted)

Global decaffeinated or roasted coffee consumption rose slightly to 17M tons in 2022, growing by 1.6% on 2021 figures. The total consumption volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.7% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations being observed throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2019 with an increase of 7% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global consumption reached the peak volume in 2022 and is likely to see steady growth in the near future.

The global decaffeinated or roasted coffee market revenue stood at $177B in 2022, stabilizing at the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The market value increased at an average annual rate of +3.0% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Global consumption peaked at $178.1B in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, consumption remained at a lower figure.

Consumption By Country

China (3.4M tons) constituted the country with the largest volume of decaffeinated or roasted coffee consumption, comprising approx. 21% of total volume. Moreover, decaffeinated or roasted coffee consumption in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest consumer, the United States (1.4M tons), twofold. India (1.4M tons) ranked third in terms of total consumption with an 8.4% share.

In China, decaffeinated or roasted coffee consumption increased at an average annual rate of +3.6% over the period from 2012-2022. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of consumption growth: the United States (+2.8% per year) and India (+3.0% per year).

In value terms, China ($28.2B) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was held by the United States ($10.7B). It was followed by Japan.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value in China amounted to +4.3%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: the United States (+1.8% per year) and Japan (+2.1% per year).

The countries with the highest levels of decaffeinated or roasted coffee per capita consumption in 2022 were Italy (10 kg per person), Canada (7 kg per person) and Japan (5.7 kg per person).

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the leading consuming countries, was attained by Italy (with a CAGR of +8.7%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Consumption By Type

Roasted coffee (not decaffeinated) (16M tons) constituted the product with the largest volume of consumption, comprising approx. 87% of total volume. Moreover, roasted coffee (not decaffeinated) exceeded the figures recorded for the second-largest type, unroasted decaffeinated coffee (2M tons), eightfold.

For roasted coffee (not decaffeinated), consumption expanded at an average annual rate of +4.3% over the period from 2012-2022. For the other products, the average annual rates were as follows: unroasted decaffeinated coffee (+4.0% per year) and roasted decaffeinated coffee (+1.8% per year).

In value terms, roasted coffee (not decaffeinated) ($116.1B) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was taken by unroasted decaffeinated coffee ($10.7B).

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of the value of roasted coffee (not decaffeinated) market stood at +3.9%. For the other products, the average annual rates were as follows: unroasted decaffeinated coffee (+3.9% per year) and roasted decaffeinated coffee (+1.5% per year).

Production

World Production of Coffee (Decaffeinated or Roasted)

In 2022, the amount of coffee (decaffeinated or roasted) produced worldwide reached 17M tons, leveling off at the previous year's figure. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.6% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being observed in certain years. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2019 with an increase of 7%. Global production peaked in 2022 and is likely to see gradual growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, decaffeinated or roasted coffee production stood at $119.5B in 2022 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +2.4% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 with an increase of 13%. Over the period under review, global production hit record highs at $123.7B in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, production stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Production By Country

China (3.4M tons) remains the largest decaffeinated or roasted coffee producing country worldwide, accounting for 21% of total volume. Moreover, decaffeinated or roasted coffee production in China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, India (1.4M tons), twofold. The third position in this ranking was held by the United States (1.3M tons), with a 7.9% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume in China stood at +3.6%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: India (+3.0% per year) and the United States (+2.7% per year).

Production By Type

Roasted coffee (not decaffeinated) (16M tons) constituted the product with the largest volume of production, comprising approx. 87% of total volume. Moreover, roasted coffee (not decaffeinated) exceeded the figures recorded for the second-largest type, unroasted decaffeinated coffee (2.1M tons), sevenfold.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of the volume of roasted coffee (not decaffeinated) production stood at +4.2%. For the other products, the average annual rates were as follows: unroasted decaffeinated coffee (+3.7% per year) and roasted decaffeinated coffee (+1.8% per year).

In value terms, roasted coffee (not decaffeinated) ($114.5B) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was held by unroasted decaffeinated coffee ($10B).

For roasted coffee (not decaffeinated), production expanded at an average annual rate of +3.8% over the period from 2012-2022. With regard to the other produced products, the following average annual rates of growth were recorded: unroasted decaffeinated coffee (+3.6% per year) and roasted decaffeinated coffee (+1.5% per year).

Imports

World Imports of Coffee (Decaffeinated or Roasted)

In 2022, global decaffeinated or roasted coffee imports reached 1.6M tons, increasing by 3.4% on 2021. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +4.8% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2013 with an increase of 10% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global imports reached the peak figure in 2022 and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, decaffeinated or roasted coffee imports rose significantly to $15.8B in 2022. In general, total imports indicated a prominent expansion from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +5.6% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports increased by +72.2% against 2012 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 when imports increased by 14% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global imports attained the maximum in 2022 and are likely to see steady growth in years to come.

Imports By Country

The United States (203K tons) and France (171K tons) represented roughly 23% of total imports in 2022. Germany (112K tons) held the next position in the ranking, followed by the Netherlands (84K tons), Canada (81K tons) and Poland (75K tons). All these countries together held near 22% share of total imports. The UK (64K tons), Spain (54K tons), Austria (47K tons), Russia (44K tons), Belgium (41K tons), Slovakia (40K tons) and Romania (40K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the key importing countries, was attained by Russia (with a CAGR of +11.5%), while imports for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the United States ($2.4B), France ($2.3B) and Germany ($967M) appeared to be the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2022, together comprising 35% of global imports. Canada, the Netherlands, the UK, Poland, Spain, Austria, Belgium, Romania, Russia and Slovakia lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 31%.

Spain, with a CAGR of +12.9%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, among the main importing countries over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Imports By Type

Roasted coffee (not decaffeinated) represented the key imported product with an import of around 1.3M tons, which reached 85% of total imports. It was distantly followed by unroasted decaffeinated coffee (183K tons), generating a 12% share of total imports. Roasted decaffeinated coffee (56K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

Roasted coffee (not decaffeinated) was also the fastest-growing in terms of imports, with a CAGR of +5.4% from 2012 to 2022. At the same time, roasted decaffeinated coffee (+1.5%) displayed positive paces of growth. Unroasted decaffeinated coffee experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. Roasted coffee (not decaffeinated) (+6.9 p.p.) significantly strengthened its position in terms of the global imports, while unroasted decaffeinated coffee saw its share reduced by -5.7% from 2012 to 2022, respectively. The shares of the other products remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, roasted coffee (not decaffeinated) ($13.9B) constitutes the largest type of coffee (decaffeinated or roasted) imported worldwide, comprising 89% of global imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by unroasted decaffeinated coffee ($950M), with a 6.1% share of global imports.

For roasted coffee (not decaffeinated), imports increased at an average annual rate of +6.0% over the period from 2012-2022. For the other products, the average annual rates were as follows: unroasted decaffeinated coffee (+1.2% per year) and roasted decaffeinated coffee (+3.2% per year).

Import Prices By Type

The average decaffeinated or roasted coffee import price stood at $9,665 per ton in 2022, growing by 6.6% against the previous year. Overall, the import price recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 when the average import price increased by 6.9%. Over the period under review, average import prices reached the maximum in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by the product type; the product with the highest price was roasted decaffeinated coffee ($13,266 per ton), while the price for unroasted decaffeinated coffee ($5,199 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by roasted decaffeinated coffee (+1.7%), while the other products experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices By Country

The average decaffeinated or roasted coffee import price stood at $9,665 per ton in 2022, increasing by 6.6% against the previous year. Overall, the import price saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 when the average import price increased by 6.9%. Over the period under review, average import prices hit record highs in 2022 and is likely to see steady growth in the near future.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was France ($13,323 per ton), while Russia ($5,850 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Spain (+5.2%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Coffee (Decaffeinated or Roasted)

In 2022, the amount of coffee (decaffeinated or roasted) exported worldwide amounted to 1.6M tons, growing by 1.5% against the year before. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.7% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 with an increase of 7.2%. The global exports peaked in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, decaffeinated or roasted coffee exports expanded sharply to $15.7B in 2022. The total export value increased at an average annual rate of +4.8% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 15%. The global exports peaked in 2022 and are likely to see gradual growth in the near future.

Exports By Country

In 2022, Germany (378K tons) and Italy (298K tons) were the largest exporters of coffee (decaffeinated or roasted)in the world, together resulting at approx. 42% of total exports. Switzerland (107K tons) took a 6.6% share (based on physical terms) of total exports, which put it in second place, followed by the Netherlands (6.5%), the United States (5.6%) and Canada (4.8%). The following exporters - Poland (68K tons), France (56K tons), Belgium (42K tons), Spain (41K tons), Vietnam (31K tons), Slovakia (26K tons) and Sweden (24K tons) - together made up 18% of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the key exporting countries, was attained by France (with a CAGR of +12.2%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Switzerland ($3.4B), Germany ($2.6B) and Italy ($2.3B) constituted the countries with the highest levels of exports in 2022, with a combined 53% share of global exports. France, the Netherlands, the United States, Canada, Poland, Belgium, Spain, Sweden, Slovakia and Vietnam lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 34%.

Among the main exporting countries, France, with a CAGR of +11.5%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of exports, over the period under review, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports By Type

Roasted coffee (not decaffeinated) represented the major exported product with an export of around 1.3M tons, which finished at 82% of total exports. It was distantly followed by unroasted decaffeinated coffee (244K tons), comprising a 15% share of total exports. Roasted decaffeinated coffee (52K tons) took a little share of total exports.

Roasted coffee (not decaffeinated) was also the fastest-growing in terms of exports, with a CAGR of +4.6% from 2012 to 2022. At the same time, roasted decaffeinated coffee (+1.7%) displayed positive paces of growth. Unroasted decaffeinated coffee experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. Roasted coffee (not decaffeinated) (+7.5 p.p.) significantly strengthened its position in terms of the global exports, while unroasted decaffeinated coffee saw its share reduced by -6.9% from 2012 to 2022, respectively. The shares of the other products remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, roasted coffee (not decaffeinated) ($13.8B) remains the largest type of coffee (decaffeinated or roasted) supplied worldwide, comprising 88% of global exports. The second position in the ranking was held by unroasted decaffeinated coffee ($1.2B), with a 7.7% share of global exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of the value of roasted coffee (not decaffeinated) exports amounted to +5.3%. With regard to the other exported products, the following average annual rates of growth were recorded: unroasted decaffeinated coffee (+0.8% per year) and roasted decaffeinated coffee (+2.7% per year).

Export Prices By Type

In 2022, the average decaffeinated or roasted coffee export price amounted to $9,698 per ton, with an increase of 5.4% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price showed a slight expansion. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 when the average export price increased by 9.4%. The global export price peaked in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by the product type; the product with the highest price was roasted decaffeinated coffee ($14,336 per ton), while the average price for exports of unroasted decaffeinated coffee ($4,965 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by unroasted decaffeinated coffee (+1.0%), while the other products experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices By Country

The average decaffeinated or roasted coffee export price stood at $9,698 per ton in 2022, surging by 5.4% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price recorded a modest expansion. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 when the average export price increased by 9.4% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the average export prices attained the peak figure in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Switzerland ($31,774 per ton), while Vietnam ($3,047 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Germany (+2.2%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform