Sack Kraft Paper Market

The article discusses the upward consumption trend of sack kraft paper globally, forecasting a growth in market volume to 8.9M tons and market value to $11.6B by 2030. It provides insights into market performance with an anticipated CAGR of +2.0% in volume and +4.1% in value for the period of 2022-2030. The detailed analysis includes consumption, production, imports, and exports trends, along with key importing and exporting countries and types of sack kraft paper. Additionally, the article highlights fluctuations in market trends and prices over the past decade.

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for sack kraft paper worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next eight years. Market performance is forecast to retain its current trend pattern, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +2.0% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 8.9M tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +4.1% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $11.6B (in nominal prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Sack Kraft Paper

In 2022, after four years of growth, there was significant decline in consumption of sack kraft paper, when its volume decreased by -5.6% to 7.6M tons. The total consumption volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.4% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations being observed throughout the analyzed period. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 10% against the previous year. As a result, consumption reached the peak volume of 8.1M tons, and then contracted in the following year.

The global sack kraft paper market size fell slightly to $8.4B in 2022, reducing by -1.7% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Over the period under review, the total consumption indicated a pronounced expansion from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +4.5% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, consumption increased by +56.7% against 2016 indices. As a result, consumption reached the peak level of $8.6B, and then reduced slightly in the following year.

Consumption By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2022 were China (1.4M tons), the United States (943K tons) and Germany (320K tons), together accounting for 35% of global consumption. Japan, Brazil, France, Mexico, Turkey, Italy, Russia, Canada, Spain and South Korea lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 26%.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the main consuming countries, was attained by Turkey (with a CAGR of +6.9%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, China ($2.8B) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was held by the United States ($618M). It was followed by Germany.

In China, the sack kraft paper market expanded at an average annual rate of +10.1% over the period from 2012-2022. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of market growth: the United States (-0.7% per year) and Germany (+5.2% per year).

The countries with the highest levels of sack kraft paper per capita consumption in 2022 were Canada (4.2 kg per person), Germany (3.9 kg per person) and France (3.5 kg per person).

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the main consuming countries, was attained by Turkey (with a CAGR of +5.4%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Production

World Production of Sack Kraft Paper

In 2022, after three years of growth, there was decline in production of sack kraft paper, when its volume decreased by -4.6% to 7.8M tons. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.7% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 with an increase of 10%. As a result, production reached the peak volume of 8.2M tons, and then dropped slightly in the following year.

In value terms, sack kraft paper production reduced to $8B in 2022 estimated in export price. Overall, the total production indicated a pronounced increase from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +4.1% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, production increased by +57.0% against 2016 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 20% against the previous year. As a result, production attained the peak level of $8.6B, and then declined in the following year.

Production By Country

The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2022 were China (1.2M tons), the United States (1M tons) and Sweden (594K tons), with a combined 37% share of global production. Russia, Japan, the Czech Republic, Brazil, Canada, Austria, Spain, France, Germany and Tanzania lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 37%.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Germany (with a CAGR of +11.6%), while production for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Imports

World Imports of Sack Kraft Paper

In 2022, after two years of growth, there was decline in overseas purchases of sack kraft paper, when their volume decreased by -0.8% to 3.2M tons. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.3% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 with an increase of 11% against the previous year. As a result, imports reached the peak of 3.3M tons. From 2019 to 2022, the growth of global imports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, sack kraft paper imports soared to $3.8B in 2022. The total import value increased at an average annual rate of +4.3% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. As a result, imports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Imports By Country

In 2022, Germany (397K tons), followed by China (233K tons), Italy (199K tons), the United States (193K tons), Slovenia (168K tons) and Mexico (146K tons) were the major importers of sack kraft paper, together generating 42% of total imports. The following importers - Poland (108K tons), Turkey (102K tons), Egypt (86K tons), Indonesia (82K tons), Malaysia (77K tons), France (76K tons) and Spain (73K tons) - together made up 19% of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the main importing countries, was attained by Slovenia (with a CAGR of +70.8%), while imports for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Germany ($464M), Italy ($245M) and the United States ($242M) constituted the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2022, with a combined 25% share of global imports. China, Slovenia, Mexico, Poland, Turkey, Egypt, France, Indonesia, Spain and Malaysia lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 35%.

In terms of the main importing countries, Slovenia, with a CAGR of +74.2%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Imports By Type

Unbleached sack kraft paper, uncoated, in rolls of a width > 36 cm represented the key type of sack kraft paper in the world, with the volume of imports reaching 2.6M tons, which was near 80% of total imports in 2022. It was distantly followed by sack kraft paper, uncoated, in rolls of a width > 36 cm (630K tons), creating a 20% share of total imports.

Unbleached sack kraft paper, uncoated, in rolls of a width > 36 cm was also the fastest-growing in terms of imports, with a CAGR of +2.8% from 2012 to 2022. Sack kraft paper, uncoated, in rolls of a width > 36 cm experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. From 2012 to 2022, the share of unbleached sack kraft paper, uncoated, in rolls of a width > 36 cm increased by +4 percentage points.

In value terms, unbleached sack kraft paper, uncoated, in rolls of a width > 36 cm ($3B) constitutes the largest type of sack kraft paper imported worldwide, comprising 79% of global imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by sack kraft paper, uncoated, in rolls of a width > 36 cm ($799M), with a 21% share of global imports.

For unbleached sack kraft paper, uncoated, in rolls of a width > 36 cm , imports expanded at an average annual rate of +5.0% over the period from 2012-2022.

Import Prices By Type

In 2022, the average sack kraft paper import price amounted to $1,179 per ton, rising by 28% against the previous year. Over the period from 2012 to 2022, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.0%. As a result, import price attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Average prices varied noticeably amongst the major imported products. In 2022, the product with the highest price was sack kraft paper, uncoated, in rolls of a width > 36 cm ($1,268 per ton), while the price for unbleached sack kraft paper, uncoated, in rolls of a width > 36 cm amounted to $1,154 per ton.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by kraft paper and paperboard; sack kraft paper, uncoated, unbleached, in rolls or sheets, other than that of heading no. 4802 or 4803 (+2.1%).

Import Prices By Country

The average sack kraft paper import price stood at $1,179 per ton in 2022, jumping by 28% against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.0%. As a result, import price attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Average prices varied somewhat amongst the major importing countries. In 2022, major importing countries recorded the following prices: in France ($1,328 per ton) and Spain ($1,265 per ton), while China ($897 per ton) and Turkey ($1,120 per ton) were amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Italy (+3.0%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Sack Kraft Paper

In 2022, global sack kraft paper exports expanded to 3.4M tons, with an increase of 1.7% against 2021. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.1% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 when exports increased by 12%. Over the period under review, the global exports hit record highs in 2022 and are likely to see gradual growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, sack kraft paper exports surged to $3.8B in 2022. In general, total exports indicated a resilient increase from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +5.3% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, exports increased by +52.0% against 2020 indices. As a result, the exports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Exports By Country

In 2022, Sweden (550K tons), followed by Russia (335K tons), the Czech Republic (329K tons), the United States (295K tons), Germany (257K tons), Austria (251K tons), Canada (210K tons) and Slovenia (160K tons) represented the main exporters of sack kraft paper, together creating 71% of total exports. Spain (128K tons), Bulgaria (103K tons), Japan (84K tons), Brazil (72K tons) and Bosnia and Herzegovina (68K tons) held a minor share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the main exporting countries, was attained by Slovenia (with a CAGR of +116.6%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest sack kraft paper supplying countries worldwide were Sweden ($692M), the Czech Republic ($385M) and Germany ($316M), with a combined 36% share of global exports. Russia, Austria, Canada, the United States, Slovenia, Spain, Bulgaria, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Japan and Brazil lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 47%.

Among the main exporting countries, Slovenia, with a CAGR of +114.1%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of exports, over the period under review, while shipments for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports By Type

Unbleached sack kraft paper, uncoated, in rolls of a width > 36 cm was the largest exported product with an export of around 2.8M tons, which reached 83% of total exports. It was distantly followed by sack kraft paper, uncoated, in rolls of a width > 36 cm (576K tons), constituting a 17% share of total exports.

Unbleached sack kraft paper, uncoated, in rolls of a width > 36 cm was also the fastest-growing in terms of exports, with a CAGR of +3.5% from 2012 to 2022. At the same time, sack kraft paper, uncoated, in rolls of a width > 36 cm (+1.3%) displayed positive paces of growth. Unbleached sack kraft paper, uncoated, in rolls of a width > 36 cm (+3.2 p.p.) significantly strengthened its position in terms of the global exports, while sack kraft paper, uncoated, in rolls of a width > 36 cm saw its share reduced by -3.2% from 2012 to 2022, respectively.

In value terms, unbleached sack kraft paper, uncoated, in rolls of a width > 36 cm ($3.1B) remains the largest type of sack kraft paper supplied worldwide, comprising 82% of global exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by sack kraft paper, uncoated, in rolls of a width > 36 cm ($706M), with an 18% share of global exports.

For unbleached sack kraft paper, uncoated, in rolls of a width > 36 cm , exports increased at an average annual rate of +5.9% over the period from 2012-2022.

Export Prices By Type

The average sack kraft paper export price stood at $1,138 per ton in 2022, rising by 28% against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.2%. As a result, the export price reached the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Average prices varied noticeably amongst the major exported products. In 2022, the product with the highest price was sack kraft paper, uncoated, in rolls of a width > 36 cm ($1,226 per ton), while the average price for exports of unbleached sack kraft paper, uncoated, in rolls of a width > 36 cm totaled $1,117 per ton.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by kraft paper and paperboard; sack kraft paper, uncoated, unbleached, in rolls or sheets, other than that of heading no. 4802 or 4803 (+2.3%).

Export Prices By Country

The average sack kraft paper export price stood at $1,138 per ton in 2022, increasing by 28% against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.2%. As a result, the export price reached the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Bosnia and Herzegovina ($1,417 per ton), while the United States ($815 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Bosnia and Herzegovina (+5.7%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform