Uncooked Pasta not Containing Eggs Market

The global market for uncooked pasta not containing eggs is expected to see continued growth in both consumption and market value over the next eight years. Italy leads the market in both consumption and production, followed by countries like France, Germany, and Turkey. The market also sees significant trade with the United States, Germany, and France being the largest importers. Export prices are on the rise, with Italy, Turkey, and Thailand being key players in the market. Overall, the market is expected to see steady growth in the near future.

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for uncooked pasta not containing eggs worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next eight years. Market performance is forecast to decelerate, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +2.1% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 11M tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +4.4% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $15.7B (in nominal prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Uncooked Pasta not Containing Eggs

In 2022, after two years of growth, there was decline in consumption of uncooked pasta not containing eggs, when its volume decreased by -1.8% to 9.2M tons. Over the period under review, consumption, however, showed a buoyant increase. Over the period under review, global consumption attained the maximum volume at 9.3M tons in 2021, and then declined modestly in the following year.

The revenue of the market for uncooked pasta not containing eggs worldwide rose significantly to $11.1B in 2022, increasing by 5% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). In general, consumption, however, saw a prominent increase. Global consumption peaked in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in the near future.

Consumption By Country

Italy (3.3M tons) constituted the country with the largest volume of uncooked pasta not containing eggs consumption, comprising approx. 36% of total volume. Moreover, uncooked pasta not containing eggs consumption in Italy exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest consumer, France (521K tons), sixfold. Germany (481K tons) ranked third in terms of total consumption with a 5.3% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume in Italy amounted to +23.8%. The remaining consuming countries recorded the following average annual rates of consumption growth: France (+8.1% per year) and Germany (+5.0% per year).

In value terms, Italy ($4.4B) led the market, alone. The second position in the ranking was held by France ($654M). It was followed by Germany.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value in Italy totaled +25.2%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: France (+9.1% per year) and Germany (+6.6% per year).

In 2022, the highest levels of uncooked pasta not containing eggs per capita consumption was registered in Italy (55 kg per person), followed by Somalia (13 kg per person), Venezuela (7.8 kg per person) and France (7.7 kg per person), while the world average per capita consumption of uncooked pasta not containing eggs was estimated at 1.2 kg per person.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of the uncooked pasta not containing eggs per capita consumption in Italy totaled +23.9%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Somalia (+11.1% per year) and Venezuela (+56.0% per year).

Production

World Production of Uncooked Pasta not Containing Eggs

In 2022, after two years of growth, there was decline in production of uncooked pasta not containing eggs, when its volume decreased by -3.8% to 9.2M tons. In general, production, however, continues to indicate a prominent expansion. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2020 when the production volume increased by 61% against the previous year. Over the period under review, global production attained the peak volume at 9.6M tons in 2021, and then shrank in the following year.

In value terms, uncooked pasta not containing eggs production reached $11.3B in 2022 estimated in export price. Overall, production, however, showed buoyant growth. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 with an increase of 88%. Global production peaked in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

Production By Country

Italy (5.3M tons) constituted the country with the largest volume of uncooked pasta not containing eggs production, comprising approx. 58% of total volume. Moreover, uncooked pasta not containing eggs production in Italy exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, Turkey (1.5M tons), fourfold. The third position in this ranking was held by Spain (364K tons), with a 4% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume in Italy totaled +10.5%. The remaining producing countries recorded the following average annual rates of production growth: Turkey (+1.5% per year) and Spain (-1.6% per year).

Imports

World Imports of Uncooked Pasta not Containing Eggs

In 2022, approx. 4.9M tons of uncooked pasta not containing eggs were imported worldwide; surging by 9% on 2021. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +4.4% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2020 when imports increased by 13%. As a result, imports attained the peak of 4.9M tons; afterwards, it flattened through to 2022.

In value terms, uncooked pasta not containing eggs imports skyrocketed to $6.1B in 2022. The total import value increased at an average annual rate of +4.6% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. As a result, imports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Imports By Country

The countries with the highest levels of uncooked pasta not containing eggs imports in 2022 were the United States (401K tons), Germany (380K tons), France (325K tons), the UK (281K tons), Venezuela (228K tons), Somalia (227K tons), Japan (190K tons), Canada (130K tons), South Korea (130K tons), Ghana (112K tons), the Netherlands (101K tons) and Iraq (81K tons), together accounting for 53% of total import.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Venezuela (with a CAGR of +56.0%), while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest uncooked pasta not containing eggs importing markets worldwide were the United States ($739M), Germany ($522M) and France ($425M), together accounting for 28% of global imports. The UK, Japan, Canada, South Korea, the Netherlands, Venezuela, Somalia, Iraq and Ghana lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 29%.

Among the main importing countries, Venezuela, with a CAGR of +46.1%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices By Country

In 2022, the average import price for uncooked pasta not containing eggs amounted to $1,248 per ton, growing by 7.8% against the previous year. Overall, the import price continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 an increase of 9%. Global import price peaked in 2022 and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Canada ($1,926 per ton), while Ghana ($477 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Iraq (+6.2%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Uncooked Pasta not Containing Eggs

In 2022, the amount of uncooked pasta not containing eggs exported worldwide reached 4.9M tons, increasing by 4.4% compared with the year before. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +4.0% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 when exports increased by 14%. As a result, the exports reached the peak of 5.3M tons. From 2021 to 2022, the growth of the global exports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, uncooked pasta not containing eggs exports soared to $6.1B in 2022. Overall, total exports indicated a pronounced expansion from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +4.9% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, exports increased by +60.8% against 2016 indices. As a result, the exports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Exports By Country

Italy was the largest exporting country with an export of about 2M tons, which reached 41% of total exports. It was distantly followed by Turkey (1.3M tons), generating a 26% share of total exports. Spain (134K tons), the United States (102K tons), Thailand (99K tons), Belgium (88K tons) and Greece (75K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the key exporting countries, was attained by Spain (with a CAGR of +12.0%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Italy ($3B) remains the largest uncooked pasta not containing eggs supplier worldwide, comprising 48% of global exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Turkey ($875M), with a 14% share of global exports. It was followed by Thailand, with a 3.1% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value in Italy stood at +4.5%. The remaining exporting countries recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Turkey (+11.0% per year) and Thailand (+5.4% per year).

Export Prices By Country

The average export price for uncooked pasta not containing eggs stood at $1,246 per ton in 2022, rising by 16% against the previous year. In general, the export price recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. As a result, the export price reached the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Thailand ($1,912 per ton), while Turkey ($699 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Italy (+2.1%), while the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform