Unroasted Decaffeinated Coffee Market

The global market for unroasted decaffeinated coffee is expected to grow in both volume and value over the period from 2022 to 2030. Despite a decline in 2022, overall consumption has shown an average annual increase of 4.0% over the last decade. Key consuming countries include India, Nigeria, and the United States, while production is led by India, Germany, and Nigeria. Imports and exports have fluctuated in recent years, with the United States and Germany being the main players in international trade. Prices have seen notable fluctuations, with different countries showing varying price trends. Overall, the market is expected to continue on a growth trajectory in the coming years.

Market Forecast

Driven by increasing demand for unroasted decaffeinated coffee worldwide, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next eight years. Market performance is forecast to decelerate, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +3.1% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market volume to 2.6M tons by the end of 2030.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +4.7% for the period from 2022 to 2030, which is projected to bring the market value to $15.4B (in nominal prices) by the end of 2030.

Consumption

World Consumption of Decaffeinated Coffee (Not Roasted)

In 2022, after four years of growth, there was significant decline in consumption of unroasted decaffeinated coffee, when its volume decreased by -8% to 2M tons. Over the period under review, the total consumption indicated a noticeable increase from 2012 to 2022: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +4.0% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Over the period under review, global consumption hit record highs at 2.2M tons in 2021, and then reduced in the following year.

The global unroasted decaffeinated coffee market value dropped modestly to $10.7B in 2022, waning by -2.3% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Overall, the total consumption indicated a moderate increase from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +3.9% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, consumption increased by +68.2% against 2014 indices. As a result, consumption reached the peak level of $10.9B, and then dropped in the following year.

Consumption By Country

India (215K tons), Nigeria (126K tons) and the United States (125K tons) were the main of unroasted decaffeinated coffee consumption in Global, together comprising 23% of total consumption.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Nigeria (with a CAGR of +18.7%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, were India ($1.1B), Russia ($815M) and the United States ($638M), with a combined 24% share of the total market. Brazil, Nigeria, Indonesia, Ethiopia, Mexico, Saudi Arabia, Thailand, Tanzania, Democratic Republic of the Congo and Germany lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 28%.

Among the main consuming countries, Saudi Arabia, with a CAGR of +20.0%, recorded the highest growth rate of market size over the period under review, while market for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

The countries with the highest levels of unroasted decaffeinated coffee per capita consumption in 2022 were Saudi Arabia (1,402 kg per 1000 persons), Germany (966 kg per 1000 persons) and Russia (807 kg per 1000 persons).

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Nigeria (with a CAGR of +15.7%), while consumption for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Production

World Production of Decaffeinated Coffee (Not Roasted)

In 2022, after four years of growth, there was significant decline in production of unroasted decaffeinated coffee, when its volume decreased by -7.5% to 2.1M tons. Overall, the total production indicated notable growth from 2012 to 2022: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.7% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2016 when the production volume increased by 14%. Unroasted decaffeinated coffee production peaked at 2.3M tons in 2021, and then contracted in the following year.

In value terms, unroasted decaffeinated coffee production shrank to $10B in 2022 estimated in export price. Over the period under review, the total production indicated pronounced growth from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +3.6% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, production increased by +73.1% against 2014 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2015 with an increase of 21%. Over the period under review, global production reached the peak level at $10.7B in 2021, and then dropped in the following year.

Production By Country

India (216K tons), Germany (206K tons) and Nigeria (126K tons) were the main of unroasted decaffeinated coffee production in Global, together accounting for 26% of total production. Russia, Indonesia, Brazil, Mexico, Ethiopia, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Saudi Arabia, Canada, Vietnam and Thailand lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 34%.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Saudi Arabia (with a CAGR of +22.4%), while production for the other global leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Imports

World Imports of Decaffeinated Coffee (Not Roasted)

In 2022, the amount of unroasted decaffeinated coffee imported worldwide reduced to 183K tons, which is down by -4.9% on the previous year's figure. In general, imports, however, continue to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2013 with an increase of 8.6%. Imports peaked at 206K tons in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, imports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, unroasted decaffeinated coffee imports soared to $950M in 2022. The total import value increased at an average annual rate of +1.2% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. As a result, imports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Imports By Country

In 2022, the United States (91K tons) constituted the largest supplier of unroasted decaffeinated coffee to Global, accounting for a 50% share of total imports. Moreover, unroasted decaffeinated coffee imports from the United States exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest supplier, Spain (26K tons), fourfold. Switzerland (12K tons) ranked third in terms of total imports with a 6.3% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume from the United States was relatively modest. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Spain (+8.1% per year) and Switzerland (+1.1% per year).

In value terms, the United States ($503M) constituted the largest supplier of unroasted decaffeinated coffee to Global, comprising 53% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was held by Spain ($83M), with an 8.7% share of total imports. It was followed by Switzerland, with an 8.3% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value from the United States was relatively modest. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Spain (+6.9% per year) and Switzerland (+0.9% per year).

Import Prices By Country

In 2022, the average unroasted decaffeinated coffee import price amounted to $5,199 per ton, jumping by 34% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the import price recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. As a result, import price reached the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Switzerland ($6,820 per ton), while the price for Spain ($3,226 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by France (+1.8%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

World Exports of Decaffeinated Coffee (Not Roasted)

For the fifth consecutive year, the global market recorded decline in shipments abroad of unroasted decaffeinated coffee, which decreased by -0.8% to 244K tons in 2022. Over the period under review, exports saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 when exports increased by 8.9%. As a result, the exports attained the peak of 271K tons. From 2014 to 2022, the growth of the global exports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, unroasted decaffeinated coffee exports skyrocketed to $1.2B in 2022. Overall, exports, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. As a result, the exports reached the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Exports By Country

Germany (127K tons) was the main destination for unroasted decaffeinated coffee exports from Global, with a 52% share of total exports. Moreover, unroasted decaffeinated coffee exports to Germany exceeded the volume sent to the second major destination, Vietnam (30K tons), fourfold. Canada (25K tons) ranked third in terms of total exports with a 10% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume to Germany amounted to -2.6%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Vietnam (+14.5% per year) and Canada (+12.0% per year).

In value terms, Germany ($599M) remains the key foreign market for unroasted decaffeinated coffee exports from Global, comprising 50% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Canada ($168M), with a 14% share of total exports. It was followed by Vietnam, with a 7.7% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value to Germany amounted to -1.4%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Canada (+12.7% per year) and Vietnam (+16.6% per year).

Export Prices By Country

The average unroasted decaffeinated coffee export price stood at $4,965 per ton in 2022, with an increase of 30% against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.0%. As a result, the export price attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Colombia ($7,079 per ton), while the average price for exports to Vietnam ($3,150 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Colombia (+3.4%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform